Strengthening El Niño Suppressing Tropical Development, Officially Puts Atlantic Hurricane Season Behind Schedule
The first month of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season has come to an end, and so far, there’s only been the development of one tropical storm. According to FOX Weather, this officially puts the season behind schedule with the blame being pointed towards an El Niño that’s strengthening.
June 17 saw the Atlantic season’s first named storm, which was Arthur. The timing of the system came one week following the average frame for when the first named storm normally develops. Since that time, the Atlantic has been silent as no tropical activity has had the proper strength to be labeled with a name. (RELATED: Tropical Area To Watch Brewing Off Southeast Coast Ahead Of July 4th Weekend)
On average, around June 24 is when the B named storm develops, while around July 6 is when the C named storm arrives, per FOX Weather.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration‘s latest hurricane forecast for the season is calling for 8-14 named storms, 3-6 hurricanes and 1-3 major hurricanes, while Colorado State University has 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes.
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In the next week, the conditions in the Atlantic are expected to remain quiet, with no tropical development in the next seven days being forecast by the National Hurricane Center.
When it comes to the Main Development Region of the Caribbean, the Climate Prediction Center‘s most recent long-range tropical outlook has it at an 80% chance for below-average precipitation.
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