{"id":253,"date":"2026-05-20T14:08:31","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T14:08:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hometransferguide.com\/?p=253"},"modified":"2026-05-20T14:08:31","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T14:08:31","slug":"scientists-quietly-reverse-climate-doomsday-prediction-beloved-by-corporate-media","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hometransferguide.com\/?p=253","title":{"rendered":"Scientists Quietly Reverse Climate Doomsday Prediction Beloved By Corporate Media"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Climate scientists discarded an extreme global warming model frequently cited by news outlets in April after its predictions failed to materialize for over a decade.<\/p>\n

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The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) found that Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 and similar proposed temperature trajectories \u201chave become implausible,\u201d a change they attribute to environmental policies. Numerous media outlets used RCP 8.5 to justify sensationalist headlines about Earth\u2019s climate. (RELATED: Trump Takes Victory Lap After UN Backtracks On Climate Change Predictions)<\/strong><\/p>\n

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LONDON, ENGLAND \u2013 FEBRUARY 14: Students take part in a climate strike demo on February 14, 2020 in London, England. (Photo by Peter Summers\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Though RCP 8.5 was intended as a worst case scenario by its modelers, publications like The Guardian cited it as the \u201cbusiness-as-usual path of high fossil fuel consumption and carbon pollution\u201d to run headlines like \u201cGlobal warming could be more devastating to the economy than we thought.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201c<\/em>The Guardian, which ran many dozens (hundreds?) of stories premised on RCP 8.5 projections over fifteen years, has run nothing [on RCP 8.5\u2019s withdrawal],\u201d American Enterprise Institute (AEI) Senior Fellow Roger Pielke Jr noted\u00a0in a May 9 report.<\/p>\n

Other headlines from The Guardian relying on RCP 8.5 include \u201cNASA climate study warns of unprecedented North American drought,\u201d and \u201cInside Australia\u2019s climate emergency: the killer heat.\u201d<\/p>\n

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The New York Times declared \u201cThe Great Climate Migration Has Begun\u201d in 2020, reporting future crop failures and a hotter South America would drive 30 million migrants to the United States.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe New York Times has been perhaps the most prominent English-language home for promoting news stories based on studies that rely on RCP8.5. They\u2019ve said nothing about its retirement,\u201d Pielke wrote for AEI.<\/p>\n

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These predictions were also based on RCP 8.5\u2019s estimated 4.8 degrees Celsius global by 2100. The new projection is a three-degree increase, to the IPCC.<\/p>\n

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CMIP7 is the overarching climate modeling program phasing out RCP 8.5.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe practical reason is that it is time for new scenarios on the CMIP and IPCC schedule for the IPCC 7th assessment report,\u201d Pielke said when asked about the rescission\u2019s timing. \u201cThe substantive reason is that the gap between the extreme scenarios and reality has become too large to deny.\u201d<\/p>\n

RCP 8.5 relied on multiple assumptions that are no longer feasible, according to Pielke and the IPCC.<\/p>\n

\u201cRCP8.5 assumed the world was moving towards coal at breakneck speed and every other energy source was going down,\u201d Pielke said. \u201cNone of that has any relevance for the real world, where coal is declining and solar is booming.\u201d<\/p>\n

Though many headlines were premised on RCP 8.5\u2019s now defunct estimates, few publications have noted the IPCC\u2019s reversal or publicly commented on years of potentially inaccurate reporting.<\/p>\n

\u201cSome of us have been talking about this for almost a decade. The fact that it took so long is a big problem. There will be significant consequences as the world unwinds from the extreme scenarios,\u201d Pielke said in response to previous media reliance on RCP 8.5. \u201cScience is self-correcting but sometimes that process takes too long.\u201d<\/p>\n

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter\u2019s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact\u00a0licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.<\/p>\n

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Climate scientists tossed an extreme global warming model beloved by corporate media in April after it failed to materialize for over a decade.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":252,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[502,503,504,505,506,507,198,508],"class_list":["post-253","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-interesting","tag-energy","tag-global-warming","tag-intergovernmental-panel-on-climate-change","tag-ipcc","tag-the-guardian","tag-the-new-york-times","tag-united-nations","tag-united-nations-climate-change-conference"],"yoast_head":"\nScientists Quietly Reverse Climate Doomsday Prediction Beloved By Corporate Media - Home Transfer Guide<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hometransferguide.com\/?p=253\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scientists Quietly Reverse Climate Doomsday Prediction Beloved By Corporate Media - 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