{"id":3348,"date":"2026-07-15T22:38:09","date_gmt":"2026-07-15T22:38:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hometransferguide.com\/?p=3348"},"modified":"2026-07-15T22:38:09","modified_gmt":"2026-07-15T22:38:09","slug":"trump-can-bomb-iran-he-still-cant-reopen-the-strait-of-hormuz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hometransferguide.com\/?p=3348","title":{"rendered":"Trump Can Bomb Iran. He Still Can\u2019t Reopen The Strait Of Hormuz."},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

A wave of attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz this past week set off a new round of fighting that jeopardizes the preliminary deal between the United States and Iran.<\/p>

Read more Is The Electoral College Really On Its Last Legs?<\/a><\/p>

Three commercial ships took hits in the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, according<\/span> to a U.S. Central Command press release. <\/p>

The Al Rekayyat, a Qatari-owned tanker, was hit by a projectile and caught fire off Oman\u2019s coast, Reuters reported<\/span>. A crude carrier flying the Saudi flag sustained separate damage near the border between Oman and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in a second attack. A drone struck a third, Liberian-flagged vessel, according<\/span> to gCaptain.<\/p>

Iran did not directly claim responsibility for any of the strikes, The New York Times reported<\/span>.<\/p>

<\/p>

The U.S. Response<\/strong><\/h3>

The U.S. launched overnight strikes on \u201cover 80 targets\u201d in Iran on Wednesday. A U.S. official told<\/span> the AP that the strikes \u201cwould likely last for hours.\u201d<\/p>

\u201cU.S. Central Command forces have begun launching a series of powerful strikes against Iran to impose heavy costs for targeting and attacking commercial shipping crewed by innocent civilians in an international waterway,\u201d U.S. Central Command wrote<\/span> on X.<\/p>

\u201cWe attacked very powerfully last night, the very dangerous people from Iran,\u201d President Donald Trump said<\/span> at a NATO summit in Turkey. \u201cThey\u2019re sick, there\u2019s something wrong with them.\u201d<\/p>

The strikes targeted Iran\u2019s port cities of Sirik and Bandar Abbas, Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz, and two bases in Iran\u2019s Bushehr province, Al Jazeera reported<\/span>. (RELATED: Israel Reportedly Attempted To Shoot Down Iran\u2019s Negotiators)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

<\/p>

Iran\u2019s Counterstrike<\/strong><\/h3>

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) retaliated with strikes on U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait early Wednesday.<\/p>

Iran \u201cdestroyed 85 major U.S. military installations in Port Salman, [the US] Fifth Naval Base in Bahrain, and Kuwait\u2019s Ali Salem Airbase, and shot down an enemy MQ9 drone that attempted to interfere in the operation,\u201d the IRGC said, according<\/span> to Al Jazeera.<\/p>

\u201cThe terrorist US military, in clear violation of Article 2, Paragraph 4 of the United Nations Charter, committed military aggression against several monitoring and surveillance centres on the southern coasts of Iran,\u201d Iran\u2019s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said, AL Jazeera reported<\/span>. \u201c[The strikes] constitute a flagrant violation of Paragraph 1 of the Memorandum of Understanding on the Termination of War.\u201d<\/p>

<\/p>

\n

\"Photo<\/figure>\nThis handout photo made available by the Iranian Army Office on March 12, 2025 shows local officials and navy personnel attending a joint Iranian-Russian-Chinese military drill in the Gulf of Oman. (Photo by Iranian Army Office \/ AFP via Getty Images)<\/p>

<\/p>

Why The Strait Matters<\/strong><\/h3>

Roughly one-fifth of the world\u2019s traded<\/span> oil and gas passed through the strait before the war began in February. Iran restricted shipping through the strait since the war\u2019s onset, but shipping traffic had partially recovered following the ceasefire, according<\/span> to Kpler data. (RELATED: US Reinstates Sanctions On Iran After Multiple Ships Reportedly Attacked In Strait Of Hormuz)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Iran sought to control<\/span> the strait and charge ships as they passed through the waterway, but the U.S. refused to allow that arrangement. \u201cIt\u2019s an international waterway. No country is allowed to charge tolls or fees on an international waterway. That\u2019s existing international law,\u201d Secretary of State Marco Rubio told<\/span> PBS NewsHour.<\/p>

The two nations agreed<\/span> to a memorandum of understanding in June allowing ships to pass<\/span> for 60 days without paying Iranian fees.<\/p>

Read more \u2018Locked And Loaded\u2019: Trump Says US Will \u2018Destroy All Areas Of Iran\u2019 In The Event He\u2019s Assassinated By Regime<\/a><\/p>

<\/p>

Where This is Headed<\/strong><\/h3>

While speaking at the NATO conference in Ankara, Turkey, Trump emphatically stated that he thinks the Memorandum of Understanding<\/span> (MOU) \u201cis over.\u201d<\/p>

\u201cI don\u2019t want to deal with them anymore. They\u2019re scum. You know what scum is? They\u2019re sick people. They\u2019re led by sick people,\u201d the president said. \u201cAnd they\u2019re vicious, violent people. And, if they had a nuclear weapon, they\u2019d use it. As far as I\u2019m concerned [the MOU] is over [\u2026] as far as I\u2019m concerned, they\u2019re liars.\u201d<\/p>

With those words, Trump has effectively scuttled his one chance to get a peaceful end to this war. At the time of this writing, the strikes against Iran have continued. Meanwhile, the Iranians have reportedly struck Bahrain, Kuwait, and even Jordan. <\/p>

But the question remains: how does this war end?<\/p>

Trump understands the Iranians believe they have won the war.<\/p>

So, he is trying his best to reset the table enough to gain more leverage over Tehran. Thus far, however, much of what the Americans have done to restore their leverage over Iran has not made Iran more pliable.<\/p>

That\u2019s because of a fundamental mismatch in strategic objectives. The Americans are clearly playing a classic military game here. But the Iranians have decided to use geoeconomics as their primary battlefield.<\/p>

The latest round of violence began over a disagreement about who, in fact, controls the Strait of Hormuz. The Americans want the Omani route in the Strait used by as many ships as possible. The Iranians oppose this because they want to force the world\u2019s shippers to use Tehran\u2019s Traffic Separation Scheme (TSS).<\/p>

The more that the world\u2019s shippers utilize Iran\u2019s TSS for the Strait of Hormuz, the more that legitimizes Iran\u2019s claim of ownership over the Strait. And the stronger their claim is, the more likely the Iranians will successfully impose transit fees on ships passing through the Strait. Trump understands that the Iranians are thinking this, so he tried to muscle them out of that position by having ships use the Omani route in the Strait.<\/p>

The Americans are lashing out. Iran is retaliating. The greater the instability there, the more likely the Strait of Hormuz<\/span> remains closed to most traffic. That doesn\u2019t hurt the Iranians. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, whether formally announced or not, harms Americans and the rest of the world.<\/p>

Already, reports have proliferated warning about the dire state of America\u2019s dwindling Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). It has gone below 330 million barrels of oil. Many experts believe that if it reaches 300 million barrels, the US will face shortages because the remaining oil in the SPR is tainted due to its storage in salt caverns.<\/p>

Once the U.S. can no longer rely on its SPR to get it through the global energy crisis caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the economy goes into a tailspin.<\/p>

With a bit more than three months before Americans cast their votes in the 2026 Midterm Elections, if the US economy is collapsing because of oil shortages caused by the ongoing disruptions to the flow of goods through the Strait of Hormuz, there could be a decisive shift in which party dominates American politics-and that will lead to significant changes in US policy.<\/p>

The Islamic Republic of Iran, on the other hand, just has to survive long enough for those harmful effects to be felt by the U.S.-and those harmful impacts could start hitting within a few weeks from now.<\/p>

Under these conditions, if Trump continues the war, things get harder for Americans rather than better-and there is still no guarantee that Trump\u2019s war results in a defeat of the Islamic Republic. Even if it does, given the kind of economic damage the world has already sustained resulting from the Strait of Hormuz being closed down, any victory for the U.S. in this war might seem pyrrhic at best. <\/p>

Read more 1984 Has Arrived, And People Are Fighting Back<\/a><\/p><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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