{"id":522,"date":"2026-05-25T13:40:21","date_gmt":"2026-05-25T13:40:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hometransferguide.com\/?p=522"},"modified":"2026-05-25T13:40:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-25T13:40:21","slug":"will-china-really-invade-taiwan-in-the-next-five-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hometransferguide.com\/?p=522","title":{"rendered":"Will China Really Invade Taiwan In The Next Five Years?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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<\/p>\n

Chinese President Xi Jinping may not need to launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan to put the island, the U.S. and the global tech economy in crisis, according to national security experts.<\/p>\n

Read more California Congressional Candidate Turns Back On Flag, Refuses To Say Pledge Of Allegiance<\/a><\/p>\n

Some advisers to President Donald Trump reportedly fear Xi could move against Taiwan within the next five years following Trump\u2019s recent summit with the Chinese leader, Axios reported. One Trump adviser told the outlet the summit signaled a \u201cmuch higher likelihood\u201d that Taiwan could be \u201con the table\u201d during that window, warning that the highly vulnerable U.S. semiconductor supply chain would not be ready for such a crisis. (RELATED: Trump To Speak With Taiwanese President In Historic Dialogue)<\/strong><\/p>\n

National security experts told the Daily Caller News Foundation that this is simply not the reality on the ground.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis is not accurate,\u201d\u00a0national security expert Brandon Weichert told the\u00a0DCNF. \u201cThere is a wing of our intelligence community, and also weirdly in Israel, that really wants to gin up hostilities between us and China. There\u2019s a litany of reasons for this, some of them are legitimate, some of them are ridiculous, but the bottom line is \u2026 simply no, this is not a real thing.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cI believe it\u2019s unlikely that China will invade Taiwan in the next five years,\u201d Adam Savit, director of the China Policy Initiative at the America First Policy Institute, told the DCNF. \u201cAn amphibious invasion of that scale is incredibly difficult, and the political risks to the CCP regime are incredibly high.\u201d<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Trump had several goals for the U.S.-China summit, including assistance from China in opening the Strait of Hormuz, the export of critical minerals from China to the United States, the export of soybeans from the United States to China and Chinese purchases of U.S. aircraft from companies such as Boeing, Weichert told the DCNF. He said that all of those goals fell through.<\/p>\n

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\n\"U.S.\n<\/div>\n

U.S. President Donald Trump is greeted by Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Great Hall of the People on May 14, 2026 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Kenny Holston-Pool\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Despite the unlikely nature of an armed conflict with China, Savit told the DCNF that it is better to be safe than sorry.<\/p>\n

\u201cTaiwan is the keystone of the First Island Chain which prevents unimpeded PLA access to the Pacific,\u201d Savit told the DCNF. \u201cJapan and the Philippines anchor the island chain on the north and south, and Washington should deepen their integration into theater defense. It is critical that our allies continue to increase military spending and strategic deployments. Japan has been a model ally in independently increasing its defense spending to 2% and soon 3%.\u201d<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u2018This Is Not Serious\u2019<\/h3>\n

The Pentagon told the DCNF that it is committed to defending against Chinese aggression in the region.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Department [of War] remains focused on preserving peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific,\u201d a War Department official told the Daily Caller News Foundation. \u201cWe are building, posturing, and sustaining a strong denial defense along the First Island Chain to deter aggression and defend vital U.S. interests in the region. At the same time, we support maintaining open lines of communication with China to reduce risk, manage crises, and prevent miscalculation. We don\u2019t comment on hypothetical scenarios.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cThis is not serious intelligence work,\u201d Weichert told the DCNF. \u201cThis is a political assessment that\u2019s being put in Axios to shape opinion in the United States, because in my opinion, the United States was humiliated by the President\u2019s recent trip to Beijing; it was not a diplomatic victory for America.\u201d<\/p>\n

China is building its military capability to seize Taiwan and deter U.S. intervention, according to the from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Beijing has ramped up its show of naval force around Taiwan in recent weeks, with Taiwanese officials spotting over 100 Chinese navy and coast guard vessels shortly after the Trump-Xi summit\u2019s conclusion, according to multiple reports.<\/p>\n

Trump recently revealed plans to speak with Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te, a leader-to-leader dialogue that has not occurred since 1979.<\/p>\n

Read more EXCLUSIVE: Trump Weighing Pulling GOP Endorsement Amid Sexual Misconduct Scandal<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cThe IC assesses that Chinese leaders do not currently plan to execute an invasion of Taiwan in 2027, nor do they have a fixed timeline for achieving unification,\u201d the assessment states. \u201cHowever, China publicly insists that unification with Taiwan is required to achieve its goal of \u2018national rejuvenation\u2019 by 2049\u2014the 100th year anniversary of the founding of the People\u2019s Republic of China (PRC). \u201d<\/p>\n

Some experts warned that Taiwan and the United States should also prepare for a digital war, rather than just a physical one.<\/p>\n

\u201cMy concern is our \u2026 semiconductor supply chain and other supply chains of critical materials,\u201d Christopher Lay, a former Reagan-era Pentagon policy aide, told the DCNF. \u201cI would suspect that China would use cyber attacks against us as well as Taiwan as part of any conflict or major confrontation.\u201d<\/p>\n

Though Taiwan has been significant recipient over U.S. military aid over for decades, that arrangement has recently hit a major stumbling block as a key $14 billion arms sale sits in limbo. China has used the sale to hold up high-level talks with the Pentagon, and its fate remains unclear as Trump weighs whether to give the greenlight and provide Taiwan the arms.<\/p>\n

\u201cAs President Trump said, he will make a determination in a fairly short time regarding a new Taiwan arms package,\u201d a White House official previously told the Daily Caller News Foundation.<\/p>\n

China could take a page out of the U.S.\u2019 book and blockade Taiwan, but such a move wouldn\u2019t come with out risks, experts said.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s important to note that a blockade would require the deployment of the PLA Navy and would increase the chances of kinetic conflict as operations would edge closer to Japanese territorial waters and the potential for accidents involving U.S. and allied navies also deployed in the region would increase,\u201d Savit told the DCNF.<\/p>\n

Weichert explained that an invasion of Taiwan was unlikely because a blockade could accomplish the goals of an invasion with fewer casualties and fewer burned resources.<\/p>\n

\u201cA blockade would be preferable for China rather than a full-blown invasion for a variety of reasons,\u201d Weichert told the DCNF. \u201cThe Strait of Hormuz blockade, both the Iranian blockade and now our counter blockade, as well as what we\u2019ve been doing in the Panama Canal, as well as our quasi-blockade of Cuba, have all sort of created the pretext that Beijing would need to pull the trigger on imposing a blockade, and they certainly have the navy size and the strength to conduct such a blockade and sustain it.\u201d<\/p>\n

However, Weichert said that even if this is unlikely, China could probably achieve its goals with Taiwan in a decade through diplomatic means.<\/p>\n

\u201cChina would like maximum strategic capability,\u201d Savit told the DCNF. \u201cThe ability to credibly threaten an invasion of Taiwan is a primary purpose of PRC military readiness, but it does not mean an invasion is imminent.\u201d<\/p>\n

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter\u2019s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact\u00a0licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.<\/p>\n

Read more Remembering The 13 Lives Lost In Operation Epic Fury<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The answer isn't so simple.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":521,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[29,229,188,592],"class_list":["post-522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-interesting","tag-china","tag-peoples-republic-of-china","tag-taiwan","tag-taiwan-strait"],"yoast_head":"\nWill China Really Invade Taiwan In The Next Five Years? - Home Transfer Guide<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hometransferguide.com\/?p=522\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Will China Really Invade Taiwan In The Next Five Years? - Home Transfer Guide\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The answer isn't so simple.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/hometransferguide.com\/?p=522\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Home Transfer Guide\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-25T13:40:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/hometransferguide.com\\\/?p=522#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/hometransferguide.com\\\/?p=522\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/hometransferguide.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/47c12a8611db56d3441574d894569529\"},\"headline\":\"Will China Really Invade Taiwan In The Next Five Years?\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-25T13:40:21+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/hometransferguide.com\\\/?p=522\"},\"wordCount\":1267,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/hometransferguide.com\\\/?p=522#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/hometransferguide.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/e538745aaa712d97d4dbf2e892ef0e00.webp\",\"keywords\":[\"china\",\"peoples republic of china\",\"taiwan\",\"taiwan strait\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Interesting\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/hometransferguide.com\\\/?p=522#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/hometransferguide.com\\\/?p=522\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/hometransferguide.com\\\/?p=522\",\"name\":\"Will China Really Invade Taiwan In The Next Five Years? 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